Wednesday, October 29, 2008

USA/ McCain's secret army to defeat Obama

This is being written about one week from the elections here in the USA. According to most polls, an Obama victory seems inevitable. The outcome of the election for President, however, does not depend on the number of votes received by Obama and McCain in the entire nation, but on the number of votes in five or so States whose electoral votes can make the difference between winner or loser regardless of the national results. From this perspective, a McCain victory cannot be entirely ruled out. Indeed, McCain is famous for these last minute victories, and he is counting on being able to do it again.

The election of a new President, however, is not the only important result of this contest. In fact, the election of a new national legislature is just as important, because a President that cannot count on sufficient support from the House of Representatives and the Senate will not be able to do much to implement his political agenda. On the other hand, a President that can count on sufficient support in the House and Senate will have a great power to shape American life in the next four years. For that reason, one of the strongest arguments of the McCain campaign these last days is that the likely control of the legislature by the Democrats will allow a President Obama and his Party to move the country much farther to the left of where most of the American people are. This is why the McCain campaign has promoted the view that Obama is a socialist, and that his victory would amount to a socialist revolution.

But it is not only the area of economic policy that worries those inclined to vote for Obama, but who are not sure even now that they know enough about him to trust him with such powers. This is also the fear of the “cultural conservatives” (especially pro-life voters). It seems that the Democratic leaders have finally realized that the total identification of the Party with the pro-abortion agenda hurts them, and probably explains why they have lost so many elections in the past decades. For the first time, the Party leaders have actually recruited candidates to run as pro-life candidates in areas that have been taken for granted by the Republicans. This year there are at least 12 such candidates whose campaign is entirely financed by the Democratic Party. Obama himself has insisted that he has softened the pro-abortion position of the Party and made space for pro-life candidates to run as Democrats. Whoever wins the election to the presidency, it will be interesting to see whether this new tactic of the Democratic Party succeeds. If it does, it is bound to begin to detach the Party from its nearly total dependence on the pro-abortion activists and financial supporters.

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